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How Many Points Will Bring Safety? Have Your Say

How Many Points Will Bring Safety? Have Your Say


Our friends over at Ye Old Tree and Crown have posed the question will it take 42 points for Premier League survival this season? A good idea for a poll I thought, so without further ado the new poll on Vital Latics is asking precisely how any points you think it will take to guarantee safety.

Over the past ten seasons only once has the total points needed to avoid relegation been 40 or above, that was at the end of the 2002/03 season when West Ham were relegated with a staggering 42 points, below is the past ten seasons third from bottom club with their points total:

2000 - Wimbledon - 33 points
2001 - Manchester City - 34 points
2002 - Ipswich Town - 36 points
2003 - West Ham United - 42 points
2004 - Leicester City - 33 points
2005 - Crystal Palace - 33 points
2006 - Birmingham - 34 points
2007 - Sheffield United - 38 points
2008 - Reading - 36 points
2009 - Newcastle United - 34 points
2010 - Burnley - 30 points

With just nine games remaining for most clubs there are only six points separating Birmingham (30 points), who occupy the last relegation spot, and Newcastle (36 points) in 9th place.

This is the tightest relegation battle for years with no team cast adrift and potentially 12 clubs still involved in the fight to avoid the drop. So how many points will it take this season?

Personally I think 38 will see you relegated with 39 being the safety mark.

Of the teams fighting relegation none have an easy run-in, all games are massive at this stage of the season no matter who you are playing and nerves can get the better of even the most seasoned pro, also with clubs in the bottom half facing each other on numerous occasions over the next few weeks there aren`t as many points on offer as the first glance would suggest.

So 39 is my safety target, but what would be yours? To participate in the vote simply access the poll on the right side of this page, select your option and hit the submit button, it`s that easy.

For the record I think the Latics will get another 12 points taking us to 39 for the season, I hope I`m right on both counts.

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Writer:Barry Worthington
Date:Tuesday March 8 2011
Time: 10:11AM

Comments

0
will do it for me, 38 with the right goal difference, which unfortunately we dont have
worbo
08/03/2011 10:38:00
0
i think it will be over 40 this year as there is too many teams competing to avoid relegation.also the top ten arent doing so well either.
johnney handsome
08/03/2011 11:31:00
0
I agree its all very close but just got a feeling about 39
worbo
08/03/2011 12:01:00
0
Most people are saying over 40 this year, but I think 39 will be enough.
guitardave
08/03/2011 23:49:00
0
you lot will need at least 40
cahill.utd
09/03/2011 09:26:00
0
I've gone 39 ...objectively... whether we have 39 is another story !
thorpyness
09/03/2011 19:34:00
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# Team P W D L Pts. GD
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2 Brighton 38 23 8 7 77 30
3 Huddersfield 37 22 5 10 71 4
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5 Reading 38 20 7 11 67 2
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12 Aston Villa 38 13 12 13 51 0
13 Cardiff 38 14 9 15 51 -1
14 Brentford 38 14 8 16 50 3
15 Q.P.R. 38 14 8 16 50 -5
16 Wolves 37 12 9 16 45 -2
17 Ipswich 38 10 15 13 45 -9
18 Birmingham 38 11 12 15 45 -16
19 Bristol City 38 11 8 19 41 -3
20 Forest 38 11 8 19 41 -11
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22 Blackburn 38 9 13 16 40 -11
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24 Rotherham 38 4 5 29 17 -54
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